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Weather more appropriate to November returns to the Chicago area after several days of near-record-setting, smile-inducing, no-jacket-wearing warmth, according to WGN meteorologist Tom Skilling’s forecast. Saturday is expected to have a high of 49, and Sunday will reach the low 50s, down from the balmy 70-plus degrees from earlier this week. The cool-down might not last, though. Temperatures are expected to return to the 60s midway through next week, according to the forecast.

October ended with above-normal temperatures and below-normal precipitation. This pattern is consistent with weather influenced by El Nino. The global weather phenomenon could mean a milder winter for Chicago.

More weather links:


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The weekend ahead

Forecast as of Friday morning

Low temperature

High temperature

Normal range

Record

Forecast

Forecast

Record

SATURDAY, Nov. 7

Partly cloudy, windy, chilly

Temp.

13°

29°

49°

75°

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

SUNDAY, Nov. 8

Mostly sunny, not as cold

11°

34°

53°

73°

0

10

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

MONDAY, Nov. 8

Partly cloudy

14°

42°

58°

74°

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Looking back at an unseasonably warm week

The past week was a warm one, and edged within a few degrees of record highs on several days.

Daily high

Daily low

Record high

Record low

Normal range

85

84

81

79

78

78

75

74

63

72

71

70

56

52

47

48

47

45

44

44

36

36

23

21

21

19

14

11

11

11

Thurs.

Oct. 29

Fri.

Oct. 30

Sat.

Oct. 31

Sun.

Nov. 1

Mon.

Nov. 2

Tues.

Nov. 3

Wed.

Nov. 4

Thurs.

Nov. 5

The year in review

72.3

Monthly average temperatures

71.8

69

67.3

60.4

54.7

52

49.4

35.4

33.6

32

22.3

14.6

Oct.

Nov.

Dec.

Jan.

Feb.

March

April

May

June

July

Aug.

Sept.

Oct.

2014

2015

Departure from normal average temperature

+4.4

+4.3

+2.2

+1.3

+0.5

-0.6

-0.5

-1.5

-1.7

-1.6

-2.5

-6.7

-13.1

Oct.

Nov.

Dec.

Jan.

Feb.

March

April

May

June

Aug.

Sept.

Oct.

2014

2015

Looking ahead

The latest NOAA temperature outlook for the Chicago area shows an increased chance of a warmer-than-normal winter as well as an increased chance of less-than-normal precipitation. NOAA attributes this outlook on El Nino, a warming of the surface of the Pacific Ocean. Although this warming of ocean water will occur thousands of miles away, a shift in ocean temperatures changes weather patterns around the globe. In a typical El Nino event, Northern states often get warmer while Southern states often get wetter.

THREE MONTH WEATHER OUTLOOK For December, January and February, as of Oct. 15

PRECIPITATION

TEMPERATURE

Equal

Equal

Higher precip.

Lower precip.

Higher temp.

Lower temp.

33%

80%

33%

80%

33%

80%

80%

33%

Chicago

Chicago


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The weekend ahead

Forecast as of Friday morning

Low temperature

Forecast

Record

Normal range

High temperature

Forecast

Record

SATURDAY, Nov. 7

Partly cloudy, windy

13°

75°

29°

49°

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

SUNDAY, Nov. 8

Mostly sunny

34°

53°

11°

73°

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

MONDAY, Nov. 8

Partly cloudy

42°

58°

14°

74°

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

Looking back at

an unseasonably

warm week

The past week was a warm one, and edged within a few degrees of record highs on several days.

Daily high

Daily low

Record high

Record low

Normal range

T

Oct. 29

F

S

S

Nov. 1

M

T

W

T

Nov. 5

The year in review

Monthly average temperatures

Nov. 2015: 54.7

O

N

D

J

F

M

A

M

J

J

A

S

O

2014

2015

Departure from normal average temperature

+2.2

O

D

J

F

M

A

M

J

J

A

S

O

2014

2015

Looking ahead

The latest NOAA temperature outlook for the Chicago area shows an increased chance of a warmer-than-normal winter as well as an increased chance of less-than-normal precipitation. NOAA attributes this outlook on El Nino, a warming of the surface of the Pacific Ocean. Although this warming of ocean water will occur thousands of miles away, a shift in ocean temperatures changes weather patterns around the globe. In a typical El Nino event, Northern states often get warmer while Southern states often get wetter.

THREE MONTH WEATHER OUTLOOK

For December, January and February,

as of Oct. 15

PRECIPITATION

Equal

Higher precip.

Lower precip.

33%

80%

33%

80%

Chicago

TEMPERATURE

Equal

Higher temp.

Lower temp.

33%

80%

33%

80%

Chicago

Sources: NOAA/National Weather Service, WGN meteorologist Tom Skilling

@ChiTribGraphics