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Add an umbrella to your Halloween costume, because it is looking to be a wet Saturday, according to WGN meteorologist Tom Skilling. The rain ends Saturday night, leading into a mostly sunny and warmer Sunday. Monday will be even warmer, starting the week with a few days of above-average temperatures, according to Skilling’s forecast.
Last Halloween had trick-or-treaters dodging the weather as well: In 2014 the low temperature was near freezing on Oct. 31, and it snowed a tenth of an inch. Snow on Halloween has occurred six times since records have been kept, according to the National Weather Service.
Barring any extreme weather events, October is set to finish with above-normal temperatures and below-normal precipitation. This pattern is consistent with weather influenced by El Nino. The phenomenon could mean a milder winter for Chicagoland.
Speaking of winter, the area’s first snow is likely around the corner. The earliest that measurable snow has been recorded at O’Hare is Oct. 12, 2006, according to Skilling.
More weather links:
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- WGN meteorologist Tom Skilling’s forecast
- The Tribune’s weather center
- Upload your own weather photos
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The weekend ahead
Forecast as of Friday morning
Low temperature
Forecast
Record
Normal range
High temperature
Forecast
Record
SATURDAY, Oct. 31
Cloudy with rain
Temp.
23°
84°
48°
51°
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
SUNDAY, Nov. 1
Mostly sunny, warmer
21°
81°
48°
62°
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
MONDAY, Nov. 2
Warm-up continues
14°
78°
52°
66°
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
The season so far
Daily temperatures Sept. 1 to Nov. 30
Recorded at O’Hare International Airport
Daily
high
Daily
low
Normal
range
Highest high: 92, Sept. 6
Lowest lows: 33, Oct. 17 and 18
SEPT.
OCT.
NOV.
Daily precipitation Sept. 1 to Nov. 30
In inches, trace amounts not shown
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High: 2.4 inches, Sept. 18
NOV.
SEPT.
OCT.
The year in review
Monthly average temperatures
Oct. 2015: 55.2
O
N
D
J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
2014
2015
Departure from normal average temperature
+2.3
O
N
D
J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
2014
2015
October records
The record high for October, recorded on the 6th in 1963
94°
Record low for October, recorded on the 25th in 1887
14°
Record precipitation,
recorded for the 10th in 1954
3.94
Record amount of snow, recorded on the 19th, in 1989
3.8
Looking ahead
The latest NOAA temperature outlook for the Chicago area shows an increased chance of a warmer-than-normal winter as well as an increased chance of less-than-normal precipitation. NOAA attributes this outlook on El Nino, a warming of the surface of the Pacific Ocean. Although this warming of ocean water will occur thousands of miles away, a shift in ocean temperatures changes weather patterns around the globe. In a typical El Nino event, Northern states often get warmer while Southern states often get wetter.
THREE MONTH WEATHER OUTLOOK
For December, January and February,
as of Oct. 15
PRECIPITATION
Equal
Higher precip.
Lower precip.
33%
80%
33%
80%
Chicago
TEMPERATURE
Equal
Higher temp.
Lower temp.
33%
80%
80%
33%
Chicago
Sources: NOAA/National Weather Service, WGN meteorologist Tom Skilling