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In 2007, the Vikings drafted running back Adrian Peterson out of Oklahoma with the seventh pick in the NFL draft. A year later, the Bears selected running back Matt Forte out of Tulane with the 44th pick. Both remain roster mainstays and the central part of their respective offenses.
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Because Peterson sat out all but one game in 2014 amid controversy surrounding child abuse charges, they have played in nearly the same number of games — Forte 113, Peterson 110. But Peterson has scored more than twice as many touchdowns and has a decided advantage in rushing yards. Factoring in receiving yards, however, and Forte nearly matches Peterson in total yards from scrimmage.
Here is a comparison of their careers entering Sunday’s game between the Vikings (4-2) and Bears (2-4) at Soldier Field. 2015 statistics are through Week 7.
Matt
Forte
Chicago Bears
Has played in the NFL since 2008
Adrian Peterson
Minnesota Vikings
Has played in the NFL since 2007
Rushing and receiving yards
Forte
Rushing yards
Receiving yards
Career rushing yards:
8,211
Career receiving yards:
3,918
Career yards from scrimmage:
12,129
Peterson
Rushing yards
Receiving yards
Career rushing yards:
10,720
Career receiving yards:
1,816
Career yards from scrimmage:
12,536
Rushing and receiving touchdowns
Forte
Rushing touchdowns
Receiving touchdowns
Career rushing touchdowns:
43
Career receiving touchdowns:
17
Peterson
Rushing touchdowns
Receiving touchdowns
Career rushing touchdowns:
89
Career receiving touchdowns:
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5
Yards per carry
Forte
Career yards per carry:
4.2
Peterson
Career yards per carry:
4.9
Advanced metrics
These statistics are created and collected by Football Outsiders, and they compare players’ efficiency with a hypothetical “league average” or “replacement-level” player at the same position. Negative ratings represent below-average offense. You can read more about these statistics here.
For the first half of his career, Forte’s performance paled in comparison with Peterson’s monster numbers. But over the last three seasons, Forte has made up some ground.
DYAR
Defense-adjusted Yards Above Replacement
This statistic gives the value of a player’s performance on plays in which a running back carried or caught the ball compared with a replacement-level player, adjusted for situation and opponent and translated into yards.
| Year | Forte | Peterson |
|---|---|---|
| 2007 | 229 | |
| 2008 | -16 | 83 |
| 2009 | -98 | 150 |
| 2010 | 88 | 217 |
| 2011 | 24 | 153 |
| 2012 | 109 | 458 |
| 2013 | 193 | 60 |
| 2014 | 113 | 5 |
| 2015 | 63 | -68 |
DVOA
Defense-adjusted Value Over Average
This statistic represents the value per play of a running back over an average running back in the same game situations. The more positive the rating, the better the player’s performance.
| Year | Forte | Peterson |
|---|---|---|
| 2007 | 16.8% | |
| 2008 | -9.8% | -2.9% |
| 2009 | -17.0% | 1.8% |
| 2010 | 0% | 10.7% |
| 2011 | -5.6% | 10.4% |
| 2012 | 3.1% | 24.9% |
| 2013 | 7.4% | -3.1% |
| 2014 | 0.9% | -1.8% |
| 2015 | 3.2% | -22.0% |
Sources: Pro-Football-Reference.com, Football Outsiders
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