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Before what looks to be a perfect fall weekend gets rolling, here comes the season’s first freeze warning.
A freeze warning means it’s highly likely to see sub-freezing temperatures, which can harm crops or other sensitive plants. This freeze warning is unusual for the suddenness of its spread, said Matt Friedlein, meteorologist with the National Weather Service in Romeoville. The entire area, from Rockford through downtown could get its first freeze all at once, while the northwest part of the state usually sees the first freeze earlier (early October), O’Hare International Airport about now (Oct. 13) and Midway later (Oct. 23), Friedlein said.
Temperatures could dip below freezing Saturday night too, but the NWS usually suspends freeze warnings after issuing the first of the fall.
Friday’s forecast points to 50s through evening rush hour and dropping into the freeze warning at night. The National Weather Service says temperatures will quickly fall into the 30s and, in outlying areas, bottom out in the 20s. The freeze warning will stay in effect until 9 a.m. Saturday.
Saturday the Cubs will be in New York (highs forecast in the 50s), and Sunday the Bears will be in Detroit (50s and possible showers), weekend temperatures here should be chillier on Saturday, and rising Sunday and Monday.
It looks to be an October weekend perfect for pumpkin farming, haunted house going, college football attending or, ahem, raking leaves.
Though the Climate Prediction Center said Thursday that chances are increasing for a milder winter with below-normal precipitation, winter is still winter, fall is still fall, and temperatures will still get chillier, at least through 9 a.m. Saturday.
- WGN meteorologist Tom Skilling’s forecast
- The Tribune’s weather center
- What El Nino could mean this winter
- Upload your own weather photos
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The weekend ahead
Low temperature
Forecast
Record
Normal range
High temperature
Forecast
Record
SATURDAY, Oct. 17
Mostly sunny, but cool
Temps
50°
86°
26°
34°
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
SATURDAY, Oct. 18
Clear
20°
87°
42°
58°
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
MONDAY, Oct. 19
Partly cloudy
21°
84°
53°
71°
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
The season so far
Daily temperatures Sept. 1 to Nov. 30
Recorded at O’Hare International Airport
Daily
high
Daily
low
Normal
range
Highest high: 92, Sept. 6
Lowest lows: 42, Oct. 10 and 14
SEPT.
OCT.
NOV.
Daily precipitation Sept. 1 to Nov. 30
In inches, trace amounts not shown
High: 2.4 inches, Sept. 18
NOV.
SEPT.
OCT.
The year in review
Monthly average temperatures
Oct. 2015: 57.7
O
N
D
J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
2014
2015
Departure from normal average temperature
+2.3
O
N
D
J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
2014
2015
October records
The record high for October, recorded on the 6th in 1963
94°
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Record low for October, recorded on the 25th in 1887
14°
Record precipitation, recorded for the 13th in 2001
3.94
Record amount of snow, recorded on the 19th, in 1989
3.8
Looking ahead
The latest NOAA temperature outlook for the Chicago area shows an increased chance of a warmer-than-normal winter as well as an increased chance of less-than-normal precipitation. NOAA attributes this outlook on El Nino, a warming of the surface of the Pacific Ocean. Although this warming of ocean water will occur thousands of miles away, a shift in ocean temperatures changes weather patterns around the globe. In a typical El Nino event, Northern states often get warmer while Southern states often get wetter.
THREE MONTH WEATHER OUTLOOK
For December, January and February,
as of Oct. 15
PRECIPITATION
Equal
Higher precip.
Lower precip.
33%
80%
33%
80%
Chicago
TEMPERATURE
Equal
Higher temp.
Lower temp.
33%
80%
80%
33%
Chicago
Sources: NOAA/National Weather Service, WGN meteorologist Tom Skilling