Last week: 7-9. Season: 142-82.
Saturday’s game
Falcons (12-2) at Lions (4-10), 7:30 p.m., ESPN
Line: Falcons by 3.5. Over/under: 50.5.
Falcons can lock up home-field advantage with victory. Lions have lost six in a row and are coming off blowout loss to woeful Cardinals. Incentive wins here.
Pick: Falcons 31, Lions 24.
Sunday’s games
Rams (6-7-1) at Buccaneers (6-8), noon
Line: Buccaneers by 3. Over/under: 44.
Both teams showed real promise this season, only to finish with little at stake. Bucs look to be in disarray; Jeff Fisher’s Rams should be able to pick up win.
Pick: Rams 23, Buccaneers 20.
Saints (6-8) at Cowboys (8-6), noon
Line: Cowboys by 1. Over/under: 51.5.
Saints have won six of last seven meetings. If Cowboys can limit turnovers, though, they should be able to win on home field with so much at stake.
Pick: Cowboys 28, Saints 24.
Vikings (8-6) at Texans (12-2), noon, WFLD-Ch. 32
Line: Texans by 9. Over/under: 45.
All eyes will be on Adrian Peterson, who did his rehab in Houston and now is chasing Eric Dickerson’s rushing record. Texans are better all-around team, though, and at home.
Pick: Texans 28, Vikings 21.
Redskins (8-6) at Eagles (4-10), noon
Line: Redskins by 6. Over/under: 45.5.
No matter who starts at QB for Redskins, they should be able to handle Eagles and pick up sixth consecutive win. Eagles are mailing it in.
Pick: Redskins 27, Eagles 20.
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Chargers (5-9) at Jets (6-8), noon
Line: Jets by 1. Over/under: 38.5.
At one point, this game had promise. Now it’s a joke. Both teams have given up, so edge goes to team that doesn’t travel across country.
Pick: Jets 24, Chargers 21.
Raiders (4-10) at Panthers (5-9), noon
Line: Panthers by 9.5. Over/under: 46.
Panthers got their act together too late, but at least they got it together. Not so for Raiders, who had lost six in a row before beating Chiefs on Sunday.
Pick: Panthers 31, Raiders 14.
Titans (5-9) at Packers (10-4), noon, WBBM-Ch. 2
Line: Packers by 13. Over/under: 46.
Titans have allowed 28.3 points per game, so Packers could put up big number. Aaron Rodgers is nursing sore ankle, though, which could keep score down.
Pick: Packers 35, Titans 10.
Patriots (10-4) at Jaguars (2-12), noon
Line: Patriots by 14.5. Over/under: 50.
Patriots mounted dramatic comeback against 49ers before falling short. Jaguars can’t keep up with their ability to put points on board.
Pick: Patriots 35, Jaguars 13.
Colts (9-5) at Chiefs (2-12), noon
Line: Colts by 7. Over/under: 41.5.
One more win and Colts make playoffs — biggest surprise of season — and they’re not going to let down-and-out Chiefs stand in their way.
Pick: Colts 20, Chiefs 14.
Bills (5-9) at Dolphins (6-8), noon
Line: Dolphins by 4.5. Over/under: 41.5.
Dolphins still have faint pulse, and they’re at home. If they can hang on to ball, that should be enough against Bills team reeling from blowout loss to Seahawks.
Pick: Dolphins 23, Bills 17.
Bengals (8-6) at Steelers (7-7), noon
Line: Steelers by 3.5. Over/under: 42.
Steelers control their destiny and should be able to secure wild-card berth by beating both Ohio teams. Even when they’ve won, Bengals have looked shaky.
Pick: Steelers 24, Bengals 17.
Browns (5-9) at Broncos (11-3), 3:05 p.m.
Line: Broncos by 13.5. Over/under: 44.5.
Now not the time to be facing Peyton Manning; Broncos quarterback getting more comfortable by the week. Browns might make it interesting, but Broncos win.
Pick: Broncos 30, Browns 13.
Bears (8-6) at Cardinals (5-9), 3:25 p.m., WFLD-Ch. 32
Line: Bears by 5.5. Over/under: 36.5.
Don’t read too much into Cardinals’ blowout victory over Lions. If Bears can avoid turnovers, Cardinals won’t be able to keep pace.
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Pick: Bears 23, Cardinals 20.
Giants (8-6) at Ravens (9-5), 3:25 p.m.
Line: Giants by 1. Over/under: 47.5.
Both teams are sinking fast. Ravens have locked up playoff berth, so Giants are more desperate, plus they should be getting safety Kenny Phillips back.
Pick: Giants 24, Ravens 21.
49ers (10-3-1) at Seahawks (9-5), 7:20 p.m., WMAQ-Ch. 5
Line: 49ers by 1. Over/under: 39.
Seahawks haven’t lost at home, and they put up 108 points over last two weeks. As good as 49ers are, they lose close one here.
Pick: Seahawks 21, 49ers 17.